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  • Graph method for evaluating the models

    We've spent some time over the last weeks comparing cycles by utilizing a graphical comparison at 500mb. As much as I believe in the validity of the LRC, it's still amazing to see how similar these comparisons are. Let's take the graphical comparison a...

  • LRC STILL GIVES ME "CHILLS"

    Another Friday is here and what?  Yes, there is a chance of snow later tonight into Saturday, maybe 1-3".  I almost forgot about snow it has been so long.  Well, this storm needs to produce 1" for me to be satisfied.

    The chance of snow is du...

  • La Huh?

    Taking some time to review the overall environment, and getting out of storm mode, I continue to research the climate teleconnections and relationships to the LRC. The more I read, the more I am puzzled.

    The CPC is forecasting a La...

  • March Is Approaching

    March is rapidly approaching and it may come in like a lamb in most areas of the United States.  An upper low is forecast by some of the models this morning to be drifting across the central plains states on the last day of February, while short wave...

  • Down at the Surface

    Good Tuesday readers!

    Today I am going to take a different level of analysis of this year's LRC.  In the past, prior to bringing up this site, I had spent two years researching the LRC independently.  As I learned how the LRC worked, I did qu...

  • Quick Hit

    It has been a busy weekend, and I don't have my usual lot of analysis.  I will leave you all with a quick hit in looking at trends in the PNA.  This range of data is from earlier in the year and I think the cycle was a hair shorter then.  It seems t...

  • Internet Resources for Forecasting

    Happy Saturday everyone!

    I spent my Friday chatting with a group of educators in Oklahoma City regarding social media. While spitting out different websites and tools that they could use, I realized that we really haven’t take time to shar...

  • Closer to the "Magic Bullet"?

    It is hard to believe it is Friday!  Where has the week gone?  But, who is complaining?

    I was introduced to the LRC about 17 years ago when I met Gary.  It amazes me more every year and it is hard to believe how much we have learned through ...

  • Deep Dive

    Good Thursday everyone,

    In the prior blog, Gary shows the correlation of the LRC between to cycle segments at the 500mb level.  I am going to take this location and 500mb data points and provide a few more examples to how this data shows many ...

  • The LRC on the west coast of the USA

    Happy Wednesday and welcome to our LRC Weather Blog,

    We have gone through a strange winter across North America and it isn't quite over yet.  It has been a colder than average winter from the northern plains through the Great Lakes states.  K...

  • The LRC and different seasons

    A storm is moving into the central United States, actually it is developing over Kansas today.  This storm system will likely go through Kansas into Missouri and be almost completely dry as it passes by.  Look at the surface map forecast for 6 PM cen...

  • A trip down under

    So far, we’ve been examining the LRC as it pertains to North America. We’ve looked some at other parts of the northern hemisphere. Yet, while we’ve mentioned that the LRC does appear to exist in the southern hemisphere, we haven’t looked too f...

  • Site Update

    Good Sunday,

    This week has kept us very busy as we have much going on with the active pattern and business growth.  I was going to post another chart showing the correlation between the LRC and the PNA, but I think I have made the case that th...

  • Houston, We Have a Problem!

    Fisrt I would like to say TGIF!  It has been an odd week of weather and more oddness is on the way!

    Gary did a blog on NBC Action News.com Thursday showing our first impression of the mean longwave features for this seasons LRC.  It was one o...

  • Teleconnected!

    Good Thursday everyone!

    Today, I have quite a bit to cover. I opened Pandora's box with the teleconnection analysis, and Gary posed the question if the AO may have affected this current cycle as it relates to the prio...

  • The LRC & the AO

    We are in the active part of this year's LRC near Kansas City.  Suddenly after a 45 day dry spell it has rained three days in a row.  Kansas City is in a comma head this morning with over an inch of rain in many spots, but it is February.  If someon...

  • Severe Weather Set-up February 10th

    We have another February set-up for severe weather.  I say it is another set-up because the past few years we have had winter severe weather outbreaks, a few of which have happened during this second month of the year.  Yestereday Ed talked about wha...

  • First thoughts about severe springtime convection

    After a couple days of near or record warmth in Kansas City and thunderstorms on the horizon for Monday morning, many here in our area are thinking of spring. As Jeff pointed out in his LRC and the wheat farmer posts, the spring offers a little extra h...

  • Random Thoughts

    Couple thoughts tonight.  First, the active pattern is starting.  Here is the general pattern as described in our Winter Forecast in late November.

    The western plains long-wa...

  • More fun with graphical comparisons

    Happy Saturday everyone!

    It seems like Scott’s post with the graphical comparisons this week really str...